Since December, Genoa have drawn the most games in Serie A (eight), and that trend could continue at Marassi: Frosinone are far less effective away from home, but they pose an attacking threat and may have benefited from a break that came as they were free-falling down the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.08) 
-0.02) 
