With Roma and Juventus to come next for Frosinone, there seems no end in sight to their spiral down the standings - and Fiorentina can get off the mark for 2024 at their expense. Neither side has been able to keep the back door shut of late, so several goals could be shared at Stadio Franchi.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
0.13) 
-0.07) 
