SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
40.62% ( -0.02) | 26.51% ( 0) | 32.87% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% ( 0) | 52.79% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% ( 0) | 74.42% ( -0) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( -0.01) | 25.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.54% ( -0.01) | 60.45% ( 0.01) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% ( 0.01) | 30.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.69% ( 0.02) | 66.3% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.87% |
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