SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Naftan |
65.71% ( -0.32) | 20.01% ( 0.15) | 14.29% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.47% ( -0.27) | 44.54% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( -0.27) | 66.9% ( 0.27) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.29% ( -0.17) | 12.72% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.06% ( -0.36) | 38.94% ( 0.36) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.85% ( 0.08) | 43.15% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.58% ( 0.07) | 79.42% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Naftan |
| 2-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.11% Total : 65.69% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 20.01% | 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 14.29% |
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