SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Gomel | 15 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Slutsk | 16 | -8 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Belshina | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 13 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 15 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 | Vitebsk | 16 | -13 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
45.76% ( -0.08) | 27.45% ( 0.07) | 26.78% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.23% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.28% ( -0.25) | 58.72% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.74% ( -0.19) | 79.25% ( 0.2) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( -0.15) | 25.63% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( -0.21) | 60.53% ( 0.21) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.17% ( -0.13) | 37.83% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.39% ( -0.13) | 74.61% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.76% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 26.78% |
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