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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundee United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dundee United |
31.36% ( 0.1) | 26.01% ( 0.13) | 42.63% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.04% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.8% ( -0.49) | 51.19% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.96% ( -0.43) | 73.04% ( 0.43) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( -0.18) | 30.37% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.44% ( -0.21) | 66.56% ( 0.21) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( -0.32) | 23.84% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( -0.47) | 58.02% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.36% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.62% |
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