Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Arbroath
66.24% ( -0.56)	20.01% ( 0.28)	13.75% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 48.19% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.31% (

-0.61)

45.69% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.98% (

-0.59)

68.01% (

0.58)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.08% (

-0.34)

12.91% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.65% (

-0.71)

39.35% (

0.71)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.34% (

0.04)

44.66% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.34% (

0.03)

80.66% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 66.23%

Arbroath 13.75%

Draw 20.01%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Arbroath
2-0 @ 12.08% 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 66.23%	1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.01%	0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.31% Total : 13.75%