SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
66.24% ( -0.56) | 20.01% ( 0.28) | 13.75% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( -0.61) | 45.69% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.98% ( -0.59) | 68.01% ( 0.58) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.08% ( -0.34) | 12.91% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.65% ( -0.71) | 39.35% ( 0.71) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.34% ( 0.04) | 44.66% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.34% ( 0.03) | 80.66% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-0 @ 12.08% 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 66.23% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.01% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.31% Total : 13.75% |
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