Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 13.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.