SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
43.51% ( -0.26) | 25.83% ( 0) | 30.67% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 53.32% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( 0.09) | 50.68% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% ( 0.08) | 72.59% ( -0.08) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% ( -0.08) | 23.18% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.93% ( -0.12) | 57.07% ( 0.12) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( 0.23) | 30.58% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( 0.27) | 66.82% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.67% |
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