SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
44.13% ( -0.18) | 24.26% ( 0.05) | 31.61% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.04% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( -0.2) | 43.42% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.18% ( -0.2) | 65.82% ( 0.19) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.15% ( -0.16) | 19.85% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.06% ( -0.25) | 51.94% ( 0.25) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( -0.02) | 26.35% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.51% ( -0.03) | 61.49% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.13% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.61% |
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