SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Partick Thistle |
29.94% ( -0.21) | 28.59% ( -0.06) | 41.47% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 44.88% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.72% ( 0.11) | 61.28% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.79% ( 0.08) | 81.2% ( -0.09) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.31% ( -0.1) | 36.68% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.53% ( -0.1) | 73.47% ( 0.09) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( 0.2) | 29.11% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% ( 0.25) | 65.03% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 29.93% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.56% Total : 41.46% |
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