SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
36.52% ( 0.02) | 28.75% ( -0) | 34.73% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.56% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.01% ( 0) | 60.99% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.02% ( 0) | 80.98% ( -0) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.08% ( 0.01) | 31.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.63% ( 0.01) | 68.37% ( -0.01) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( -0.01) | 33.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.32% ( -0.01) | 69.68% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.73% |
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