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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
36.22% ( -0.94) | 27.15% ( 0.25) | 36.62% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 50.43% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.01% ( -1.03) | 54.98% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.74% ( -0.85) | 76.26% ( 0.85) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( -1.06) | 29.11% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( -1.32) | 65.03% ( 1.32) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( -0.09) | 28.87% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( -0.11) | 64.73% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.22% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.62% |
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