SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Partick Thistle |
45.12% ( 0.98) | 25% ( -1.07) | 29.88% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( 3.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% ( 4.51) | 47.53% ( -4.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( 4.03) | 69.74% ( -4.03) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( 2.36) | 21.1% ( -2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( 3.55) | 53.93% ( -3.55) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( 2.36) | 29.53% ( -2.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.45% ( 2.79) | 65.55% ( -2.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( -1.16) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.43)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.43)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.28)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -1.25)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.48)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.95) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.33)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 29.88% |
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