SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
54.51% ( 0.02) | 22.99% ( 0.02) | 22.5% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% ( -0.14) | 44.62% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.01% ( -0.13) | 66.99% ( 0.13) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( -0.05) | 16.28% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.17% ( -0.08) | 45.82% ( 0.07) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( -0.11) | 33.85% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% ( -0.12) | 70.51% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 54.51% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.23% 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 22.5% |
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