Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
0.92) 
-0.99) 
