SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | MK Dons |
32.49% ( 0.92) | 23.06% ( 0.08) | 44.44% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 63.8% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.66% ( 0.02) | 37.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.44% ( 0.02) | 59.55% ( -0.02) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( 0.54) | 22.88% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.37% ( 0.79) | 56.63% ( -0.78) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( -0.38) | 17.26% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.41% ( -0.67) | 47.59% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.49% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.95% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.13% Total : 44.45% |
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