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Scottish League One | Gameweek 36
May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hope CBD Stadium
KH
Kelty Hearts

Hamilton
4 - 1
Kelty Hearts

Morgan (7'), Hastie (25', 81'), Smith (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Johnston (42')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Hamilton Academical and Kelty Hearts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alloa 0-1 Hamilton
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-2 Montrose
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawKelty Hearts
61.39% (0.255 0.25) 19.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 18.88% (-0.265 -0.27)
Both teams to score 61.07% (-0.548 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.51% (-0.486 -0.49)34.49% (0.485 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.58% (-0.548 -0.55)56.42% (0.54799999999999 0.55)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.1% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)10.89% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.96% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)35.04% (0.176 0.18)
Kelty Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (-0.554 -0.55)31.47% (0.552 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15% (-0.646 -0.65)67.85% (0.64400000000001 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 61.39%
    Kelty Hearts 18.88%
    Draw 19.73%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawKelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.153 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.163 0.16)
3-1 @ 7.2%
3-0 @ 6.23% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.16% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.45% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 8.79% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.73%
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 18.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Alloa 0-1 Hamilton
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Montrose 1-2 Hamilton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Falkirk
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Annan 1-3 Hamilton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Hamilton 0-0 QotS
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-3 Hamilton
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-2 Montrose
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 2-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 1-0 Stirling
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: QotS 1-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 3-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Annan 3-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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