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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
38.77% ( 0.21) | 26.1% ( -0.02) | 35.13% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.31% ( 0.04) | 50.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% ( 0.04) | 72.59% ( -0.04) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.39% ( 0.13) | 25.61% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.51% ( 0.18) | 60.49% ( -0.18) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( -0.09) | 27.69% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% ( -0.13) | 63.25% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.77% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.13% |
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