SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 83.39%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 5.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 4-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.01%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
83.39% ( -0.9) | 10.86% ( 0.6) | 5.75% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.07% ( -1.92) | 26.92% ( 1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.61% ( -2.47) | 47.39% ( 2.48) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.35% ( -0.48) | 4.64% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.1% ( -1.49) | 18.9% ( 1.5) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.73% ( -0.66) | 48.27% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.57% ( -0.49) | 83.43% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 3-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.55)4-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 7.87% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.26)1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.58)4-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.22)5-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.27)5-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.12)6-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.21)5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.13)7-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.15)Other @ 4.39% Total : 83.38% | 1-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.8% Total : 10.86% | 1-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.29% Total : 5.75% |
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