SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HamKam | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
41.44% ( -0.09) | 24.62% ( 0.24) | 33.94% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.64% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( -1.15) | 44.32% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( -1.13) | 66.7% ( 1.13) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( -0.53) | 21.43% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.55% ( -0.83) | 54.44% ( 0.83) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.63) | 25.37% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.83% ( -0.87) | 60.16% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| HamKam | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.44% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.94% |
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