SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 20 | -11 | 22 |
| 14 | Sarpsborg 08 | 20 | -7 | 19 |
| 15 | Jerv | 20 | -32 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Odd | 20 | -13 | 24 |
| 10 | HamKam | 20 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | FK Haugesund | 20 | -3 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest HamKam win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sarpsborg 08 in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | HamKam |
43.34% ( -0.57) | 23.91% ( -0.05) | 32.75% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 60.79% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.66% ( 0.46) | 41.33% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.27% ( 0.46) | 63.73% ( -0.46) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% ( -0.06) | 19.33% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.9% ( -0.09) | 51.09% ( 0.09) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( 0.59) | 24.64% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% ( 0.81) | 59.16% ( -0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | HamKam |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 43.34% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.75% |
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