SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Aalesund | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | HamKam | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Sandefjord | 9 | -3 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Stromsgodset | 11 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Sarpsborg 08 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt | 10 | 6 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HamKam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HamKam | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
38.99% ( -0.1) | 26.19% ( 0.25) | 34.82% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.9% ( -1.08) | 51.09% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.05% ( -0.95) | 72.95% ( 0.95) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% ( -0.55) | 25.67% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.42% ( -0.75) | 60.58% ( 0.75) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.92% ( -0.61) | 28.08% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.26% ( -0.78) | 63.74% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| HamKam | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.82% |
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