Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for GAIS had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest GAIS win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hammarby | Draw | GAIS |
48.2% ( -0.31) | 22.32% ( 0.02) | 29.48% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 64.84% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.73% ( 0.07) | 35.28% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.71% ( 0.08) | 57.3% ( -0.08) |
Hammarby Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.92% ( -0.08) | 15.09% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.38% ( -0.16) | 43.62% ( 0.16) |
GAIS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( 0.22) | 23.65% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.26% ( 0.32) | 57.74% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Hammarby | Draw | GAIS |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.2% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.48% |
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