SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Hammarby |
28.47% ( -1.14) | 24.2% ( -0.57) | 47.33% ( 1.72) |
| Both teams to score 57.37% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.21% ( 1.88) | 44.79% ( -1.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.85% ( 1.79) | 67.15% ( -1.79) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( 0.16) | 29.13% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.94% ( 0.19) | 65.06% ( -0.19) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( 1.49) | 19.05% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.37% ( 2.4) | 50.64% ( -2.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Hammarby |
| 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.54)2-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.41% Total : 28.47% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.46)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.32)0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.22)0-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.23% Total : 47.33% |
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