Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
Result | ||
Kalmar | Draw | Hammarby |
33.68% (![]() | 25.13% (![]() | 41.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.76% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.27% (![]() | 46.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.01% (![]() | 68.99% (![]() |
Kalmar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.32% (![]() | 26.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.08% (![]() | 61.92% (![]() |
Hammarby Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% (![]() | 22.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.8% (![]() | 56.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Kalmar | Draw | Hammarby |
1-0 @ 7.96% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.83% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.68% | 1-1 @ 11.84% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 8.96% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.19% |
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