SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Hammarby |
33.68% ( 0.11) | 25.13% ( -0.06) | 41.19% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.27% ( 0.29) | 46.73% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.01% ( 0.27) | 68.99% ( -0.27) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( 0.2) | 26.67% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.08% ( 0.27) | 61.92% ( -0.27) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% ( 0.1) | 22.59% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.8% ( 0.15) | 56.2% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Hammarby |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.68% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.19% |
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