SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Hapoel Hadera |
50.34% ( -0.15) | 26.02% ( 0.09) | 23.64% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.29% ( -0.28) | 55.71% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.15% ( -0.23) | 76.85% ( 0.23) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( -0.18) | 22.19% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.41% ( -0.27) | 55.59% ( 0.27) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.04% ( -0.1) | 38.95% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.32% ( -0.09) | 75.68% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Hapoel Hadera |
| 1-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 50.34% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 23.64% |
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