SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Petah Tikva win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Petah Tikva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
33.34% ( 0.13) | 26.47% ( -0.04) | 40.19% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( 0.17) | 52.52% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% ( 0.15) | 74.18% ( -0.15) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( 0.17) | 29.71% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.23% ( 0.2) | 65.77% ( -0.21) |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% ( 0.03) | 25.68% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.41% ( 0.04) | 60.59% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.34% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.19% |
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