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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 68.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 11.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.48%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Hapoel Hadera win it was 1-0 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
11.5% ( 0.37) | 19.59% ( 0.77) | 68.92% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 42.99% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.9% ( -2.29) | 49.1% ( 2.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( -2.11) | 71.17% ( 2.11) |
| Hapoel Hadera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.5% ( -0.78) | 50.5% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15% ( -0.54) | 85% ( 0.53) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% ( -1.01) | 13.17% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.14% ( -2.08) | 39.86% ( 2.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Hadera | Draw | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
| 1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.25% Total : 11.5% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.54% Total : 19.59% | 0-2 @ 13.66% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.75)1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 9.24% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 6.31% ( -0.28)0-4 @ 4.68% ( -0.28)1-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.15)0-5 @ 1.9% ( -0.19)1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.57% Total : 68.91% |
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