SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Ashdod had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Ashdod win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hapoel Jerusalem in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Ashdod |
43.4% ( 0.07) | 27.95% ( 0.01) | 28.66% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.04% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.46% ( -0.07) | 59.54% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.11% ( -0.05) | 79.89% ( 0.06) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( 0) | 27.22% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( 0) | 62.64% ( 0) |
| Ashdod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.26% ( -0.09) | 36.74% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.47% ( -0.1) | 73.53% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Ashdod |
| 1-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.48% 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 28.65% |
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