SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Salford City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Salford City.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Salford City |
20.83% ( -0.21) | 23.11% ( -0.16) | 56.06% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% ( 0.4) | 47.13% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.64% ( 0.37) | 69.36% ( -0.37) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.14% ( 0.01) | 36.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.36% ( 0.01) | 73.64% ( -0.01) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( 0.27) | 16.62% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.55% ( 0.48) | 46.45% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 20.83% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 56.06% |
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