Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
0.33) 
-0.45) 
