Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
