Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
-0.25) 
0.11) 
