Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.09) 
