Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
