Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
0.12) 
-0.02) 
