SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Nuremberg |
47.28% ( 0.12) | 23.03% ( -0.02) | 29.68% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.33% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.38% ( 0.05) | 38.61% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.08% ( 0.06) | 60.91% ( -0.06) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( 0.07) | 16.67% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.46% ( 0.12) | 46.53% ( -0.12) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( -0.04) | 25.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% ( -0.05) | 59.92% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.33% Total : 47.28% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.68% |
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