Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.57%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hamburger SV in this match.
-0.09) 
0.04) 
