Saturday's outcome will depend on Huracan finding ways to penetrate Independiente Rivadavia's five-player defence. The hosts should be beneficiaries of Pussetto and Fertoli's admirable starts this term to secure their fourth win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.68%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huracan in this match.
1.02) 
-1.16) 
