SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
46.16% ( -0.81) | 28.22% ( 0.33) | 25.62% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 43.4% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.09% ( -0.78) | 61.91% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.33% ( -0.58) | 81.67% ( 0.58) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( -0.76) | 26.9% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.77% ( -1.02) | 62.23% ( 1.02) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.37% ( -0.01) | 40.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.78% ( -0.01) | 77.22% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 1-0 @ 14.35% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.82% Total : 46.16% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.3% Total : 25.62% |
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