SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 1-0 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Union |
26.78% ( -1.06) | 28.67% ( -0.44) | 44.55% ( 1.51) |
| Both teams to score 43.06% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.25% ( 0.92) | 62.74% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.72% ( 0.67) | 82.28% ( -0.66) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.92% ( -0.38) | 40.08% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.27% ( -0.36) | 76.73% ( 0.36) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( 1.26) | 28.13% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.18% ( 1.57) | 63.81% ( -1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 26.78% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.66% | 0-1 @ 14.3% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.32)1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.63% Total : 44.55% |
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