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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Apr 16, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Independiente Rivadavia
0 - 1
Velez Sarsfield


Tonetto (28'), Palacios (36'), Dionisio (50'), Reali (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pizzini (41')
Aquino (36'), Romero (36'), Marchiori (45+3'), Vecino (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente Rivadavia and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, April 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.43%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Independiente RivadaviaDrawVelez Sarsfield
32.26% (0.0020000000000024 0) 30.34% (0.032 0.03) 37.4% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 41.04% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.7% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)66.3% (0.092000000000013 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.21% (-0.057 -0.06)84.79% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)37.69% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)74.47% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)34.13% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)70.82% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Rivadavia 32.26%
    Velez Sarsfield 37.4%
    Draw 30.33%
Independiente RivadaviaDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.58% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 32.26%
1-1 @ 13.49%
0-0 @ 12.86% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.33%
0-1 @ 13.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.43% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.4%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Talleres 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Banfield
Monday, April 1 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 4-0 River Plate
Friday, March 22 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Tucuman 2-2 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Deportivo Riestra
Tuesday, March 12 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, April 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 1-0 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, March 31 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Instituto
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Tuesday, March 12 at 12.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Rosario
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 0-0 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, March 2 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division


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