Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Apr 16, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
Tonetto (28'), Palacios (36'), Dionisio (50'), Reali (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente Rivadavia and Velez Sarsfield.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.43%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result |
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
32.26% ( 0) | 30.34% ( 0.03) | 37.4% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.04% ( -0.07) |
| 33.7% ( -0.09) | 66.3% ( 0.09) |
| 15.21% ( -0.06) | 84.79% ( 0.06) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| 62.31% ( -0.05) | 37.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.53% ( -0.05) | 74.47% ( 0.05) |
| 65.87% ( -0.06) | 34.13% ( 0.07) |
