SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Goteborg | Draw | Hammarby |
24.99% ( -5.8) | 23.19% ( -2.06) | 51.82% ( 7.86) |
| Both teams to score 57.71% ( 2.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.06% ( 5.23) | 42.94% ( -5.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.66% ( 4.99) | 65.34% ( -4.99) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% ( -1.56) | 30.79% ( 1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.94% ( -1.88) | 67.06% ( 1.88) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( 5.27) | 16.62% ( -5.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.55% ( 8.7) | 46.45% ( -8.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Goteborg | Draw | Hammarby |
| 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.98) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( -1.84)2-0 @ 3.55% ( -1.29)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.51)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.59)Other @ 2.9% Total : 24.99% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -1.14) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -1.28)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.63) 0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.54)0-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.86)1-3 @ 5.81% ( 1.21)0-3 @ 4.93% ( 1.19)2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.59)1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.86)0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.79)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.46)1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.41)Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.82% |
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