SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Sirius |
41.25% ( 0.34) | 23.45% ( -0.02) | 35.29% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 63.26% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.58% ( 0) | 38.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.29% ( 0) | 60.71% ( -0.01) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.97% ( 0.15) | 19.02% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.4% ( 0.25) | 50.6% ( -0.26) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -0.17) | 21.87% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( -0.26) | 55.11% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 41.25% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.29% |
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