SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 78.49%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 8.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 1-2 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
78.49% ( 0.47) | 13.36% ( -0.24) | 8.15% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70% ( 0.39) | 29.99% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.81% ( 0.47) | 51.18% ( -0.47) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.93% ( 0.17) | 6.07% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.91% ( 0.47) | 23.09% ( -0.47) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.72% ( -0.23) | 44.28% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.65% ( -0.19) | 80.35% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
| 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.06)6-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.29% Total : 78.49% | 1-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.03% Total : 13.36% | 1-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 8.15% |
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