SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Australia | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Syria | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | India | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Australia | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Syria | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | India | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 51.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for India had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a India win it was 1-0 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| India | Draw | Uzbekistan |
23.13% ( -0.35) | 25.8% ( 0.22) | 51.08% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.58% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% ( -1.09) | 55.33% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% ( -0.9) | 76.54% ( 0.91) |
| India Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% ( -0.94) | 39.23% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.06% ( -0.89) | 75.94% ( 0.9) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( -0.39) | 21.71% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.14% ( -0.6) | 54.87% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| India | Draw | Uzbekistan |
| 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.13% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 13% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.19)1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.08% |
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