Uzbekistan have dominated this fixture to a large degree and are huge favourites to come away with maximum points from this one, and while we can see Turkmenistan putting up a good fight, we fully expect the visitors to emerge triumphant in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 83.98%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 4.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.06%) and 0-1 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.38%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 1-0 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Uzbekistan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Uzbekistan.
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