SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Uzbekistan |
38.28% ( -0.02) | 27.37% ( -0.01) | 34.35% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.59% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.04% ( 0.05) | 55.96% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.94% ( 0.04) | 77.05% ( -0.05) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( 0.01) | 28.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% ( 0.02) | 64.09% ( -0.02) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% ( 0.05) | 30.77% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( 0.06) | 67.03% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| China | Draw | Uzbekistan |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.27% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.34% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
