SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 54.86%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Turku | Draw | Gnistan |
54.86% ( -0.18) | 22.13% ( 0.14) | 23% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.98% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.83% ( -0.61) | 40.17% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.46% ( -0.64) | 62.54% ( 0.64) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.4% ( -0.27) | 14.6% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.3% ( -0.52) | 42.69% ( 0.52) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( -0.3) | 30.93% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.77% ( -0.36) | 67.23% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Turku | Draw | Gnistan |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 54.86% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 23% |
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