SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
51.72% ( -0.15) | 23.73% ( 0.33) | 24.54% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( -1.63) | 45.76% ( 1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( -1.57) | 68.08% ( 1.56) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.29% ( -0.67) | 17.7% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.65% ( -1.16) | 48.35% ( 1.15) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.32% ( -1.04) | 32.68% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.77% ( -1.17) | 69.23% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gnistan | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.65% Total : 51.71% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.55% |
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